🎓 Prepared by students from Boğaziçi University

What is Deflation?

Deflation is the opposite of inflation — a persistent decline in the average price level of goods and services over time. While cheaper prices sound good, deflation can slow economic growth and create unemployment.

Short answer

Deflation is a sustained decrease in the average price level, causing each unit of currency to buy more over time. It discourages spending because consumers expect prices to fall further, leading to reduced investment and hiring.

Deflation: Falling Price Level
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x: Year · y: Average Price Level (Index)
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Step-by-step worked examples

Japan's average price level fell from 100 in 1990 to 95 in 2000. What was the deflation rate?

Deflation rate = (New level − Old level) / Old level
Deflation = (95 − 100) / 100 = −0.05 = −5%
Prices fell 5% over the decade.

With deflation at −2%, a $10 item today will cost how much next year?

New price = Old price × (1 + deflation rate)
New price = 10 × (1 − 0.02) = 10 × 0.98 = $9.80
The item is 20 cents cheaper.

A worker earns $50,000 in deflation where prices fall 3%. What happens to real wages?

Real wage = Nominal wage / (1 + deflation)
Real wage = 50,000 / (1 − 0.03) ≈ 51,546
Real purchasing power RISES.
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Flashcards

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Quick quiz

Q1.Deflation means…

Correct answer: A. Deflation is a drop in average price level.

Q2.In deflation, why do consumers spend less?

Correct answer: B. Waiting for cheaper prices reduces immediate demand.

Q3.A $100,000 debt in 5% deflation becomes…

Correct answer: B. The dollar's value rises, so the debt is harder to repay with deflating wages.

Q4.Japan experienced deflation from the 1990s–2010s. The result was…

Correct answer: B. Deflation stalled Japan's economy for years.
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Common mistakes

Thinking deflation means 'cheap and good.'Correct: Deflation paralyzes spending and investment, harming the economy.

Confusing deflation with disinflation.Correct: Disinflation = slowing inflation; deflation = negative inflation.

Assuming wages fall slower than prices in deflation.Correct: Wages often fall faster, hurting workers despite cheaper goods.

Thinking central banks want zero inflation.Correct: Central banks target 2% inflation to avoid deflation.

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FAQ

What is deflation?

Deflation is a sustained decline in average price level, making your money worth more but discouraging spending and growth.

Is deflation the opposite of inflation?

Yes — inflation = rising prices; deflation = falling prices. But they're not equally bad; deflation is more economically harmful.

Why do deflation periods slow the economy?

People delay purchases expecting cheaper prices later, businesses reduce investment, and unemployment rises.

Can governments prevent deflation?

Yes — through monetary policy (printing money, lowering rates) and fiscal policy (spending, tax cuts). Central banks actively avoid deflation.

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