🎓 Prepared by students from Boğaziçi University

What are Behavioral Biases?

Behavioral biases are systematic cognitive distortions that cause investors to make predictable errors in judgment, such as overconfidence, loss aversion, and confirmation bias.

Short answer

Behavioral biases are psychological patterns that distort judgment: overconfidence bias, loss aversion, anchoring, confirmation bias, and recency bias lead to irrational investment choices.

Five Key Behavioral Biases
Overconfidence
  • Overestimate knowledge and predictive ability
  • Overtrade and take excessive risk
  • Typical of young, male investors
Loss Aversion
  • Feel pain of loss more than joy of gain
  • Hold losers too long (hoping to break even)
  • Avoid risk after losses
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Step-by-step worked examples

An investor, convinced of their stock-picking ability, trades 50% of portfolio monthly. Bias?

Overconfidence bias
Belief in superior skill
Excessive trading (churn)
Underperforms due to costs and turnover

A trader bought at $100, sells at $80 loss, then delays selling at $50. What is this?

Loss aversion + anchoring
Stuck to purchase price anchor
Refuses to accept loss
Hopes to break even (unlikely)

Investor reads only bullish news about their holdings. What is this phenomenon?

Confirmation bias
Seek supporting information
Ignore contradictory evidence
Reinforce existing beliefs regardless of reality
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Flashcards

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Quick quiz

Q1.Overconfidence bias typically leads to…

Correct answer: B. Overconfident investors overtrade, believing they can beat the market.

Q2.Loss aversion explains why investors…

Correct answer: B. Loss aversion causes investors to hold losers, hoping prices recover.

Q3.Anchoring bias occurs when investors…

Correct answer: B. Anchoring to purchase or prior high price distorts future valuations.

Q4.Recency bias leads investors to…

Correct answer: C. Recent events disproportionately influence decisions, ignoring historical trends.
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04

Common mistakes

Biases only affect retail investors, not professionals.Correct: Studies show professionals and experts are susceptible to the same cognitive distortions.

Strong returns prove your strategy is superior.Correct: Short-term luck and market timing can mask inferior strategy or hidden risks.

You can completely eliminate your behavioral biases.Correct: Awareness helps reduce them, but systematic safeguards (rules, diversification) are more effective.

Diversification eliminates behavioral bias.Correct: Diversification reduces risk; combating bias requires awareness and discipline.

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FAQ

What are behavioral biases?

Systematic cognitive distortions causing predictable errors in judgment: overconfidence, loss aversion, anchoring, confirmation bias, recency bias.

Why do investors hold losing stocks?

Loss aversion makes the pain of losses feel more intense; they anchor to purchase price and hope to break even.

How can I reduce behavioral biases?

Create rules-based strategies, set stop-losses, diversify, avoid emotional decisions, and regularly review holdings.

Do professional investors have biases?

Yes; research shows even seasoned investors fall prey to overconfidence, anchoring, and other cognitive distortions.

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